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Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [citation needed] [dubious – discuss], who use them to set odds on the outcome of football matches.
Arbitrage betting involves relatively large sums of money, given that 98% of arbitrage opportunities return less than 1.2%. [2] The practice is usually detected quickly by bookmakers, who typically hold an unfavorable view of it, [3] and in the past this could result in half of an arbitrage bet being canceled, or even the closure of the bettor's account.
Parlay bets are paid out at odds higher than the typical single game bet, but still below the "true" odds. For instance, a common two-team NFL parlay based entirely on the spread generally has a payout of 2.64:1. In reality, however, if one assumes that each single game bet is 50/50, the true payout should instead be 3:1.
The sportsbooks are slower to adjust the odds in some sports versus other sports depending on the number of games played and the amount of money they take in from bettors. [citation needed] Betting systems based on statistical analysis have been around for a while, however they have not always been well known. One group that was known for their ...
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When the free bet is placed the other bookmakers or betting exchanges are used to hedge all the possible outcomes so that no matter what happens the value of the free bet is retained. At its simplest, a matched bet involves placing a back bet using the free bet at a bookmaker while placing the opposing lay bet at a betting exchange. More ...
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