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Using his system, Lichtman has now correctly predicted 9 of 11 presidential elections since 1984. His only other blemish came in 2000 when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.
Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a ... Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election ...
Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, who correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election over the last half-century, failed to accurately predict who voters would chose to become the ...
The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
On September 5, 2024, Lichtman predicted that Harris would win the election. [55] On November 5, 2024, contrary to Lichtman's prediction, Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. [8] This was the first time Lichtman inaccurately predicted both the popular vote and the Electoral College outcome.
Using his system, Lichtman has correctly predicted nine of 11 presidential elections since 1984. His first blemish came when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore in the 2000 election.
Allan Lichtman, a historian and American University professor, has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984 using a formula of 13 true-or-false questions.
Allan Lichtman is used to being right. In fact, he's been right about who'll win each of the previous 10 presidential elections except one. On Tuesday, he was wrong again for the first time since ...