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FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast. All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris. 🕒 Last and final update: 12:30 a.m., Tuesday, November 5. Happy Election Day! At exactly midnight on Tuesday, we ran our simulation model for the final time in this election cycle.
380. 389. Share. Welcome to election night! And welcome to the Silver Bulletin 2024 election night landing page! Join our election night Chat here to discuss the results with us, special guest Matt Glassman, and othe…. r Silver Bulletin subscribers. That’s where most of our color commentary will be. UPDATE: We are taking the model down for ...
FOLLOW. Polling expert Nate Silver has issued a fresh election forecast just hours before polls open, with a new favorite to win, while the race is still neck and neck. According to Silver's ...
There is a 47-in-100 chance that Trump wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. See a new scenario. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign...
Historian Allan Lichtman reaffirmed his 2024 election prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly defeat former President Donald Trump, and called out fellow predictor Nate Silver ...
Statistician and prognosticator Nate Silver and historian Allan Lichtman traded barbs on social media over 2024 presidential election predictions.
In an election where the seven battleground states are all polling within a percentage point or two, 50-50 is the only responsible forecast. Since the debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump ...
All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris.
The model will run here at Silver Bulletin: I’ll publish polling averages for everyone, and probabilistic forecasts and additional commentary and data for paying subscribers. However, the pace will be different this year.
by Juliann Ventura - 11/05/24 9:28 AM ET. Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran ...