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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
The Senate of Australia is elected using single transferable vote (STV) and does not use an electoral threshold or have a predictable "natural" or "hidden" threshold. At a normal election, each state returns six senators and the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory each return two.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.The date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous ...
Since the 60-vote threshold to end a filibuster in the Senate will be difficult to achieve with only 53 Republican senators, it will be interesting to see how Trump and his Senate Republican ...
A lower house (the House of Commons), the members of which are chosen by the citizens of Canada through federal general elections. Elections Canada is the non-partisan agency responsible for the conduct of elections in Canada, including federal elections, by-elections and referendums. It is headed by the chief electoral officer.
Votes like his are part of why Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin defeated former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers to fill an open seat left by the retirement of Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., by 0.4 ...
Vote shares of 1st-place candidates in the 2015, 2019 and 2021 elections to the Canadian House of Commons, grouped in increments of 5% Turnouts for Canadian federal elections (2015-2021), grouped in increments of 5% Margins of victory for Canadian federal elections (2015-2021), grouped in increments of 5%
The Senate filibuster rule, which requires a 60-vote threshold to end debate and pass most types of legislation in the upper chamber, is seen as the best chance Democrats have at blocking the ...