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In practice, the expected future spot price is unknown, and the term "backwardation" may refer to "positive basis", which occurs when the current spot price exceeds the price of the future. [3]: 22 The opposite market condition to normal backwardation is known as contango. Contango refers to "negative basis" where the future price is trading ...
If short-term interest rates were expected to fall in a contango market, this would narrow the spread between a futures contract and an underlying asset in good supply. . This is because the cost of carry will fall due to the lower interest rate, which in turn results in the difference between the price of the future and the underlying growing smaller (i.e. narrow
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Contango and "normal backwardation" are opposites. Backwardation is something different. Someone more expert than I should correct this and add an article about "normal backwardation". Mark —Preceding unsigned comment added by 136.182.158.153 14:59, 21 May 2008 (UTC) == "Occurence" section seems incorrect == I agree. This page confuses ...
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