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  2. Pascal's wager - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal's_wager

    In fact, according to decision theory, the only value that matters in the above matrix is the +∞ (infinitely positive). Any matrix of the following type (where f 1 , f 2 , and f 3 are all negative or finite positive numbers) results in (B) as being the only rational decision.

  3. Escalation of commitment - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Escalation_of_commitment

    A decision that goes against existing rules and processes may also reach resistance even with support from those within the organization. Individuals and groups that are directly employed due to a project, have financial stake in it may provide enough opposition to prevent changes from being made as well.

  4. Sayre's law - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sayre's_law

    On 20 December 1973, the Wall Street Journal quoted Sayre as: "Academic politics is the most vicious and bitter form of politics, because the stakes are so low." Political scientist Herbert Kaufman, a colleague and coauthor of Sayre, has attested to Fred R. Shapiro, editor of The Yale Book of Quotations, that Sayre usually stated his claim as "The politics of the university are so intense ...

  5. Supreme Court Obamacare Decision: What's at Stake - AOL

    www.aol.com/2012/06/20/supreme-court-obamacare...

    The Supreme Court is set to render its decision on the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act, aka Obamacare, in the coming days. ... so it seems prudent to take a look back at the. Skip to ...

  6. This retiree accepted an investment broker’s invite for ...

    www.aol.com/finance/retiree-accepted-investment...

    The steak dinner (and Wilson’s decision to invest) ended up costing him $158,000 of his retirement savings. The first few years for Wilson went well, with regular monthly payouts, and in 2017 he ...

  7. St. Petersburg paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Petersburg_paradox

    The St. Petersburg paradox is a situation where a naïve decision criterion that takes only the expected value into account predicts a course of action that presumably no actual person would be willing to take.

  8. Fiat stands by decision to take a stake in Chrysler - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/2009-06-09-fiat-stands-by...

    In yesterday's episode of "As Chrysler Folds," the U.S. Supreme Court decided to hear a challenge by three Indiana pension and construction funds -- which could ultimately destroy the sale of the ...

  9. Martingale (betting system) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system)

    Despite the fact that the gambler usually wins a small net reward, thus appearing to have a sound strategy, the gambler's expected value remains zero because the small probability that the gambler will suffer a catastrophic loss exactly balances with the expected gain. In a casino, the expected value is negative, due to the house's edge ...