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The National Bureau of Economic Research dates recessions on a monthly basis back to 1854; according to their chronology, from 1854 to 1919, there were 16 cycles. The average recession lasted 22 months, and the average expansion 27. From 1919 to 1945, there were six cycles; recessions lasted an average 18 months and expansions for 35.
The COVID-19 recession proved to be the shortest recession in US history but had the largest GDP decline since the 1945 recession. [19] The short-term economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic included supply chain shortages , the collapse of many service and hospitality industries, and a dramatic rise in unemployment.
The following articles contain lists of recessions: ... Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License; additional terms may apply.
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In Stocks for the Long Run, Siegel mentions that since 1948, ten recessions were preceded by a stock market decline, by a lead time of 0 to 13 months (average 5.7 months), while ten stock market declines of greater than 10% in the Dow Jones Industrial Average were not followed by a recession. [157]
Lasting over 4 years, the bursting of the speculative bubble in shares led to further selling as people who had borrowed money to buy shares had to cash them in, when their loans were called in. Also called the Great Crash or the Wall Street Crash, leading to the Great Depression. Recession of 1937–1938: 1937 USA
To back up their forecast, a Deutsche Bank team led by Jim Reid, head of global economics and thematic research, earlier this month analyzed 34 U.S. recessions dating back to 1854, looking for ...
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