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The accuracy of Gallup's forecasts indicated the value of modern statistical methods; according to data collected in the Gallup poll, the Literary Digest poll failed primarily due to non-response bias (Roosevelt won 69 percent of Literary Digest readers who did not participate in the poll) rather than selection bias as commonly believed.
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
In the late 1970s, the would-be biographer of George Gallup, a founding father of survey research who was dubbed the “Babe Ruth of the polling profession,” described the Gallup Poll in general ...
However, these polls are sometimes subject to dramatic fluctuations, and so political campaigns and candidates are cautious in analyzing their results. An example of a tracking poll that generated controversy over its accuracy, is one conducted during the 2000 U.S. presidential election, by the Gallup Organization.
There's good reason to stop obsessing over the polls ... The Times poll showing a tied race at 48% and the CNN poll showing a tied race at 47% can be accurate in ... Pivot to Gallup’s snapshot ...
Suffice it to say, if polls are getting more or less accurate, the public needs to know. And now that the 2024 election is in the rearview mirror, we can take a rough first look at how accurate ...
Gallup is a private employee-owned company based in Washington, D.C., [3] [11] founded by George Gallup in 1939. Headquartered in The Gallup Building, [4] it maintains between 30 and 40 offices globally, [6] in locations including in New York City, London, Berlin, Sydney, Singapore, and Abu Dhabi, and has approximately 1,500 employees.
W. Joseph Campbell is a professor emeritus at American University in Washington, D.C., and author of seven books, including most recently, “Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ...