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Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P composite real price–earnings ratio and interest rates (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance, 2d ed. [1] In the preface to this edition, Shiller warns that "the stock market has not come down to historical levels: the price–earnings ratio as I define it in this book is still, at this writing [2005], in the mid-20s, far higher than the historical average
The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, commonly known as CAPE, [1] Shiller P/E, or P/E 10 ratio, [2] is a stock valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings ( moving average ), adjusted for inflation. [ 3 ]
The average P/E ratio for U.S. stocks from 1900 to 2005 is 14, [citation needed] which equates to an earnings yield of over 7%. The Fed model is an example of a system that uses the earnings yield as a method to assess aggregate stock market valuation levels, although it is disputed. [2]
More than 5,700 companies are listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, the two largest trading platforms for U.S. securities.
The price earnings ratio (P/E) of each identified peer company can be calculated as long as they are profitable. The P/E is calculated as: P/E = Current stock price / (Net profit / Weighted average number of shares) Particular attention is paid to companies with P/E ratios substantially higher or lower than the peer group.
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Stock B is trading at a forward P/E of 30 and expected to grow at 25%. The PEG ratio for Stock A is 75% (15/20) and for Stock B is 120% (30/25). According to the PEG ratio, Stock A is a better purchase because it has a lower PEG ratio, or in other words, its future earnings growth can be purchased for a lower relative price than that of Stock B.
The stock currently trades at 19.5 times the consensus 2025 earnings per share, representing a forward price-to-earnings ratio significantly above its 10-year average multiple of 17. This elevated ...