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  2. Expected goals - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_goals

    Quantitatively we find for the AP group about 0.15 more goals per home match than expected and, allowing for the lower than expected goals against in home matches, an excess goal difference (for home matches) of about 0.31 goals per home match. Over a season this yields about 3 more goals for, an improved goal difference of about 6 goals. [9]

  3. Three points for a win - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_points_for_a_win

    Under W2 these two teams are equal on 3 points and their rank is based on goal difference and other ranking criteria. In Group F of the 2010 FIFA World Cup Slovakia finished 2nd with a -1 goal difference (their win causing 5th-ranked Italy's early World Cup exit), while New Zealand finished 3rd with 0 goal difference having played three draws ...

  4. Statistical association football predictions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_association...

    Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [ citation needed ] [ dubious – discuss ] , who use them to set odds on the outcome of football matches.

  5. Determining the outcome of a match (association football)

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Determining_the_Outcome_of...

    Most codes of football from before 1863 provided only one means of scoring (typically called the "goal", although Harrow football used the word "base"). [7] The two major exceptions (the Eton field game and Sheffield rules, which borrowed the concept from Eton) both used the "rouge" (a touchdown, somewhat similar to a try in today's rugby) as a tie-breaker.

  6. Goal difference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goal_difference

    Goal difference, goal differential or points difference is a form of tiebreaker used to rank sport teams which finish on equal points in a league competition.Either "goal difference" or "points difference" is used, depending on whether matches are scored by goals (as in ice hockey and association football) or by points (as in rugby union and basketball).

  7. Glossary of association football terms - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossary_of_association...

    A player doing a keepie-uppie Association football (more commonly known as football or soccer) was first codified in 1863 in England, although games that involved the kicking of a ball were evident considerably earlier. A large number of football-related terms have since emerged to describe various aspects of the sport and its culture. The evolution of the sport has been mirrored by changes in ...

  8. Total quarterback rating - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_Quarterback_Rating

    For example, a 1st and goal chance on the opponents' 1-yard line heavily favors the offense, yielding a positive point value. On the other hand, a 3rd and 9 on the team's own 3-yard line is heavily negative because it drastically favors the opponent. The value of each play's outcome is measured by the snap-to-snap change in expected points.

  9. Football Power Index - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Football_Power_Index

    Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team's FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA).