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[1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [3]
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This article is a list of United States presidential candidates. The first U.S. presidential election was held in 1788–1789, followed by the second in 1792. Presidential elections have been held every four years thereafter. Presidential candidates win the election by winning a majority of the electoral vote.
The 1960 presidential election was the closest election since 1916, and this closeness can be explained by a number of factors. [2] Kennedy benefited from the economic recession of 1957–1958 , which hurt the standing of the incumbent Republican Party, and he had the advantage of 17 million more registered Democrats than Republicans. [ 3 ]
This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election. [2]
According to his model, democratic candidate Kamala Harris will win the US elections in 2024. Lichtman has correctly called all but one election since 1984. (Photo by Pedro Ugarte / AFP) (Photo by ...
Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, for the U.S. general election. Stay in the know: Download our app for breaking election news and alerts When will we know who is elected president?
WASHINGTON - Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.