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[1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [3]
Pages in category "United States presidential election predictions" The following 4 pages are in this category, out of 4 total. This list may not reflect recent changes .
The Primary Model was first used in the 1996 election, [8] and correctly predicted Barack Obama's re-election as early as February 2012 and the election of Donald Trump in 2016. [5] Norpoth's election model had predicted 25 out of the past 29 elections, with 1960, 2000, 2020, and 2024 as misses. [9]
“The 1960 presidential election changed everything," Wallace said in a statement. “It was the first to be conducted largely on television. The first to feature debates between the two major ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
According to his model, democratic candidate Kamala Harris will win the US elections in 2024. Lichtman has correctly called all but one election since 1984. (Photo by Pedro Ugarte / AFP) (Photo by ...
WASHINGTON - Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.
2020 result 2020 margin [6] IE November 3, 2024 [7] Cook November 4, 2024 [8] CNalysis November 4, 2024 [9] Sabato November 4, 2024 [10] CNN November 4, 2024 [11] DDHQ November 5, 2024 [12] 538 November 5, 2024 [13] Economist November 5, 2024 [14] Alaska: 3 Nov 6 01:00 am R+8: 52.8% R 10.06% Solid R Solid R Very Likely R Safe R Solid R Safe R ...