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The yield curve disinverted this week, suggesting an economic recession may be near. Historically, yield curve disinversions have preceded every economic recession since 1976.
The NBER officially calls U.S. recessions, and data from Bank of America shows why this group won't be in a rush to declare the U.S. economy in recession.
The CEO of the biggest US bank became the latest Wall Street boss to downplay worries that this week's volatility reflects an unhealthy economy but noted that a coming recession was still possible.
"Even though today we're not in a recession, the trajectory of the U.S. is one of a slowdown," Daco noted. "Whether payrolls, the unemployment rate, layoffs, they all point to a slowdown in ...
If history is any indication, that rise likely points to a recession. "There has never been a case over the past 50 years where this metric has increased by more than 0.20 percentage points ...
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However some believe we can expect a recession to begin later than initially predicted. Fifty-four percent of economists at companies and trade groups predict the chances of a downturn in the next ...
For the outspoken hedge funder, the yield curve’s current disinversion trend is a sign that a recession is coming, and likely within the year. “Is the yield curve distance inversion going to ...