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Market conditions: Major economic events — such as interest rate changes, unemployment data, market crashes or geopolitical tensions — can impact market volatility and, consequently, implied ...
The resulting VIX index formulation provides a measure of market volatility on which expectations of further stock market volatility in the near future might be based. The current VIX index value quotes the expected annualized change in the S&P 500 index over the following 30 days, as computed from options-based theory and current options ...
The risk-free interest rate is 5%. XYZ stock is currently trading at $51.25 and the current market price of is $2.00. Using a standard Black–Scholes pricing model, the volatility implied by the market price is 18.7%, or:
Conversely, given market data at a given point in time, the spot is fixed at the current market price, while different options have different strikes, and hence different moneyness; this is useful in constructing an implied volatility surface, or more simply plotting a volatility smile. [1]
Volatility as described here refers to the actual volatility, more specifically: . actual current volatility of a financial instrument for a specified period (for example 30 days or 90 days), based on historical prices over the specified period with the last observation the most recent price.
The volatilities in the market for 90 days are 18% and for 180 days 16.6%. In our notation we have , = 18% and , = 16.6% (treating a year as 360 days). We want to find the forward volatility for the period starting with day 91 and ending with day 180.
Unlike an investment in options, whose volatility exposure is contaminated by its price dependence, these swaps provide pure exposure to volatility alone. This is truly the case only for forward starting volatility swaps. However, once the swap has its asset fixings its mark-to-market value also depends on the current asset price. One can use ...
A trader need only be worried about what the market is doing, not what the market might do. The current price and only the price tells you what the market is doing. Money management: Another decisive factor of trend following is not the timing of the trade or the indicator, but rather the decision of how much to trade over the course of the trend.