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Update: The odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in 2032 have fallen to 1.5%, NASA announced Wednesday. Read the latest. The risk that an increasingly ominous asteroid dubbed 2024 YR4 will ...
According to Nasa's Center for Near-Earth Object Studies, Asteroid 2024 YR4 has fallen off the Torino scale after recent observations. The impact probability dropped to 0.0017% or 1-in-59,000 odds ...
An asteroid capable of flattening a mid-sized city could potentially collide with Earth eight years from now, as its orbit around the sun briefly intersects the path of our planet. Named 2024 YR4 ...
2024 YR 4 is an asteroid with an estimated diameter of 40 to 90 metres (130 to 300 ft) that is classified as an Apollo-type (Earth-crossing) near-Earth object. From 27 January to 20 February 2025, it had an impact rating of 3 on the Torino scale , with a maximum estimated probability of 3.1% that it would impact Earth on 22 December 2032.
The chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth in 2032 hit a record high. Experts expect the risk percentage to fluctuate before likely dropping to zero. Here’s why.
Asteroid designation Date & time (UTC) of discovery Discoverer Estimated size Abs. mag. Date & time (UTC) of impact Warning time Location of impact Airburst altitude Energy Method of impact detection Reference 2008 TC 3: 2008-10-06 06:39 Mt. Lemmon Survey: 3.8–4.4 m (12–14 ft) 30.72: 2008-10-07 02:45 20:05: 20.9 N, 31.8 E Nubian Desert in ...
On 7 October 2008, an approximately 4 meter asteroid labeled 2008 TC 3 was tracked for 20 hours as it approached Earth and as it fell through the atmosphere and impacted in Sudan. This was the first time an object was detected before it reached the atmosphere and hundreds of pieces of the meteorite were recovered from the Nubian Desert .
The agency also shared that the new data suggested that the asteroid had a 1.7% chance of hitting the moon, but those slight odds of impact do not pose a risk to Earth. “When first discovered ...