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The statistical errors are then =, with expected values of zero, [4] whereas the residuals are = ¯. The sum of squares of the statistical errors, divided by σ 2, has a chi-squared distribution with n degrees of freedom:
The general regression model with n observations and k explanators, the first of which is a constant unit vector whose coefficient is the regression intercept, is = + where y is an n × 1 vector of dependent variable observations, each column of the n × k matrix X is a vector of observations on one of the k explanators, is a k × 1 vector of true coefficients, and e is an n× 1 vector of the ...
These deviations are called residuals when the calculations are performed over the data sample that was used for estimation (and are therefore always in reference to an estimate) and are called errors (or prediction errors) when computed out-of-sample (aka on the full set, referencing a true value rather than an estimate). The RMSD serves to ...
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In ordinary least squares, the definition simplifies to: =, =, where the numerator is the residual sum of squares (RSS). When the fit is just an ordinary mean, then χ ν 2 {\displaystyle \chi _{\nu }^{2}} equals the sample variance , the squared sample standard deviation .
If the errors are independent and normally distributed with expected value 0 and variance σ 2, then the probability distribution of the ith externally studentized residual () is a Student's t-distribution with n − m − 1 degrees of freedom, and can range from to +.
Note in the later section “Maximum likelihood” we show that under the additional assumption that errors are distributed normally, the estimator ^ is proportional to a chi-squared distribution with n – p degrees of freedom, from which the formula for expected value would immediately follow. However the result we have shown in this section ...
Any non-linear differentiable function, (,), of two variables, and , can be expanded as + +. If we take the variance on both sides and use the formula [11] for the variance of a linear combination of variables (+) = + + (,), then we obtain | | + | | +, where is the standard deviation of the function , is the standard deviation of , is the standard deviation of and = is the ...