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Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
Polls of the three northern swing states, by contrast, haven't been as impressive, although they're still more accurate than the average state. Since 1998, polls of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have ...
According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
It continues to be a very close race, but two presidential election polls show Donald Trump has edged ahead of Kamala Harris with just four days left. Presidential election polls 2024: Latest ...
Polls throughout the campaign indicated a very close race. Incumbent Vice President Nixon initially led, but then had problems (a poor image in the first television debate and a knee injury which prevented him from campaigning) which gave Kennedy the lead in the polls for most of the campaign. In the end, Kennedy had an extremely close victory ...
Here are the latest poll results for Pennsylvania and swing states on election Day 2024. ... How accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections?
The poll of 853 likely voters, conducted online between Oct. 23-26 and released exactly one week before Election Day, has both candidates at 47%, with 2% of respondents saying they will vote for a ...