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The observed total budget deficit is equal to the sum of the structural deficit with the cyclical deficit or surplus. Some economists have criticized the distinction between cyclical and structural deficits, contending that the business cycle is too difficult to measure to make cyclical analysis worthwhile. [9]
Since 2008, the foreign sector surplus and private sector surplus have been offset by a government budget deficit. [2] [3] Sectoral analysis is based on the insight that when the government sector has a budget deficit, the non-government sectors (private domestic sector and foreign sector) together must have a surplus, and vice versa.
The government budget can be directly introduced into the model. We consider now an open economic model with public deficits or surpluses. Therefore the budget is split into revenues, which are the taxes (T), and the spendings, which are transfers (TR) and government spendings (G). Revenue minus spending results in the public (governmental) saving:
A positive (+) number indicates that revenues exceeded expenditures (a budget surplus), while a negative (-) number indicates the reverse (a budget deficit). Normalizing the data, by dividing the budget balance by GDP, enables easy comparisons across countries and indicates whether a national government saves or borrows money.
Therefore, over the cycle the current budget (i.e., net of investment) must balance or be brought into surplus. The core of the 'golden rule' framework is that, as a general rule, policy should be designed to maintain a stable allocation of public sector resources over the course of the business cycle.
Government deficit spending is a central point of controversy in economics, with prominent economists holding differing views. [3]The mainstream economics position is that deficit spending is desirable and necessary as part of countercyclical fiscal policy, but that there should not be a structural deficit (i.e., permanent deficit): The government should run deficits during recessions to ...
(The Center Square) – Spokane is slated to adopt its 2025-2026 budget on Monday, closing a roughly $25 million deficit while attempting to prioritize public safety and urban planning. Mayor Lisa ...
More generally, it is a budget that has no budget deficit, but could possibly have a budget surplus. [1] A cyclically balanced budget is a budget that is not necessarily balanced year-to-year but is balanced over the economic cycle , running a surplus in boom years and running a deficit in lean years, with these offsetting over time.