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  2. Cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclically_adjusted_price...

    The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, commonly known as CAPE, [1] Shiller P/E, or P/E 10 ratio, [2] is a stock valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings ( moving average ), adjusted for inflation. [ 3 ]

  3. Robert J. Shiller - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_J._Shiller

    Price-earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based on the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, [18] [19]). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted earnings ...

  4. Will the Stock Market Crash in 2025? - AOL

    www.aol.com/stock-market-crash-2025-114500817.html

    The S&P's Shiller P/E ratio has only hit 38 times in two other periods: during the dot-com bubble, and early in 2022, before the market pulled back. The ratio was sitting at 38.8 times at the ...

  5. The Stock Market Is Historically Pricey: Here's How I'm ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/stock-market-historically-pricey...

    S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts. ... more than $56 billion, combined, in 2022 from Comirnaty and Paxlovid versus a forecast of $8.5 billion from the two, combined, in 2024. ...

  6. Warren Buffett's Unprecedented $132 Billion Warning to Wall ...

    www.aol.com/warren-buffetts-unprecedented-132...

    Q4 2022: $14.64 billion in net-equity sales. Q1 2023: $10.41 billion. ... there have only been a half-dozen occasions in more than 150 years where the Shiller P/E ratio has topped 30 during a bull ...

  7. Efficient-market hypothesis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Efficient-market_hypothesis

    Price-Earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based upon the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, [23] source). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted ...

  8. President-Elect Donald Trump Is About to Make Dubious Stock ...

    www.aol.com/president-elect-donald-trump-dubious...

    By comparison, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio, which is also commonly known as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, ... and during late 2021/early 2022. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all ...

  9. Fed model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fed_model

    Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P 500 price–earnings ratio (P/E) versus long-term Treasury yields (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance. [1]The P/E ratio is the inverse of the E/P ratio, and from 1921 to 1928 and 1987 to 2000, supports the Fed model (i.e. P/E ratio moves inversely to the treasury yield), however, for all other periods, the relationship of the Fed model fails; [2] [3] even ...