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Trafalgar states that it researches its pool of voters to determine characteristics such as likelihood to vote. This differs from traditional polling methods, which have typically do not have fixed contact pools. Trafalgar's sampling methods have resulted in consistent response rates of around 1.37-1.46% for recent Trafalgar Group polls. [6]
The Trafalgar Group's polling numbers were mostly inaccurate in the 2022 United States midterm elections. [20] Trafalgar's polls incorrectly suggested that Republican candidates such as Kari Lake , Mehmet Oz , Tim Michels , and Herschel Walker , would all win.
(The Center Square) – Polls are now closed in more than half of U.S. states, including the key swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and North Carolina.
đź“Šatlas polls - swing states Harris leads in only one of the 7 decisive swing states for the Electoral College outcome: Wisconsin. Trump's advantage over his opponent is most significant in ...
Here is what the polls, odds say now — about each of the swing states compared to the national polls and odds — as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 5. Who is leading in the swing ...
The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. [1]
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