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Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
2020 United States Senate elections ← 2018 November 3, 2020 January 5, 2021 (Georgia runoffs) 2022 → 35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51 [a] seats needed for a majority Majority party Minority party Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell Party Democratic Republican Leader since January 3, 2017 January 3, 2007 Leader's seat New York Kentucky Seats before 45 53 Seats after 48 ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Trump — who was rejected by a majority of Americans in 2020 during his re-election campaign after winning an unprecedented race in 2016 — flipped every swing state that incumbent President Joe ...
It is also worth pointing out that the number of votes Trump received in 2024 is substantially less than the 81,283,501 votes that Biden received in 2020. In other words, Trump’s “massive ...
2020 presidential election exit poll [289] Response category Biden Trump % of total vote Total vote 51 47 100 Trump job approval Strongly approve 4 96 38 Somewhat approve 20 75 12 Somewhat disapprove 89 7 10 Strongly disapprove 97 1 39 Quality of candidate that mattered most Has good judgment 68 26 24 Cares about people like me 49 50 21
"Trump has historically outperformed polling in both 2016 and 2020 due to his ability to get low propensity voters to show up and win the voters on the fence who make up their mind at the last ...
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.