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The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days ...
Uniform national swing, or UNS is a system for translating opinion polls, which give overall vote proportions, to expected eventual parliamentary seats in a constituency based first past the post system, as in the UK general elections.
Across the 12 general elections from 1992 to 2024, the site correctly predicted the party to win the most seats in all but one (1992). They also correctly predicted the outcome, that is, the party winning a majority or a hung parliament, in six elections (majorities in 1997, 2001, 2005, 2015, 2017 (by a majority of only 3), 2019, 2024; hung parliament for 2010).
YouGov produced a poll of seats in South West England that had elected a Conservative MP in every election since the 2015 general election and where a majority of voters were estimated to have voted to leave the European Union in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. They branded these seats the "Conservative Celtic Fringe".
Labour took a lead following the Partygate scandal and maintained this through the Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak premierships until the 2024 election. Opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United Kingdom general election from the 2019 general election with a local regressions (LOESS) trend line for each party.
Polls see the Tory lead widen, with the odds and predictions stacked in favor of Johnson, which should be Sterling positive…
Results of the July 2024 general election to the House of Commons of the United Kingdom [4] [5] Affiliate Leader Candidates MPs Aggregate votes Total Gained [c] Lost [c] Net Of total (%) Total Of total (%) Change (%) Labour: Keir Starmer: 631 411 218 7 211 63.2 9,708,716 33.70 1.6 Conservative: Rishi Sunak: 635 121 1 252 251 18.6 6,828,925 23. ...
Labour wins election with an eventual 174-seat majority. End of pre-election period (also known as purdah). Sir Keir Starmer is appointed Prime Minister by King Charles III and forms a new government following the resignation of Rishi Sunak. [78] [79] 6 July Results announced for final two undeclared seats, following recounts. 9 July