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The spread between the two rates is considered to be a measure of health of the banking system. [2] It is an important measure of risk and liquidity in the money market, [ 3 ] considered by many, including former US Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan , to be a strong indicator for the relative stress in the money markets . [ 4 ]
In fact, more than 8.5 million customers signed up for OSAs with leading U.S. banks in 2005 alone, and some industry experts estimated the online savings account market would triple in size, from $250 billion to $400 billion by 2010. [1] [2]
This difference in convexity can also be used to explain the price differential from an MBS to a Treasury bond. However, the OAS figure is usually preferred. The discussion of the "negative convexity" and "option cost" of a bond is essentially a discussion of a single MBS feature (rate-dependent cash flows) measured in different ways.
Bond prices and interest rates are closely related and can both be used to forecast economic activity, so investors should at least be aware of the basics: how interest rates affect bond prices ...
Bond yields soared after the Fed's summary of economic projections and Powell's remarks indicated just two rate cuts in 2025. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 10 basis points to 4.49%.
Investors are pricing in a 69% chance the Fed is still on track to cut rates two more times this year, but odds for a rate cut in January have fallen to 45%, down from 66% a week ago, according to ...
There is a time dimension to the analysis of bond values. A 10-year bond at purchase becomes a 9-year bond a year later, and the year after it becomes an 8-year bond, etc. Each year the bond moves incrementally closer to maturity, resulting in lower volatility and shorter duration and demanding a lower interest rate when the yield curve is rising.
For example, a Series EE bond issued between Nov. 1, 2024, and April 30, 2025, will have an interest rate of 2.6 percent. This bond would double in value in 27.69 years (72 divided by 2.6 percent ...