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Ned Davis Research ran the numbers long ago and found that stock market returns during the first year of a presidential term (including re-election terms) average only about 5 percent.
The efficacy of technical analysis is disputed by the efficient-market hypothesis, which states that stock market prices are essentially unpredictable, [5] and research on whether technical analysis offers any benefit has produced mixed results. [6] [7] [8] Technical analysts or chartists are usually less concerned with any of a company's ...
Economic forecasting is the process of making predictions about the economy. Forecasts can be carried out at a high level of aggregation—for example for GDP, inflation, unemployment or the fiscal deficit—or at a more disaggregated level, for specific sectors of the economy or even specific firms.
During the bear market a heavy debate ensued as to whose fault the falling market was. The political parties were heavily divided during this period. [11] For the most part there were three camps: ones that simply blamed the economy, others that wanted to pin the passing Bush Administration and others that wanted to push the blame on the newly arriving Obama Administration.
The global economy is a perpetual motion machine, but U.S. stock exchanges do take breaks: Independence Day is one of nine holidays on which the markets are shuttered (in addition to the weekends).
The stock market has been on a tear in 2024, with the S&P 500 rising by nearly 21 percent over the first three quarters of the year. But the situation may not be so brisk over the coming 12 months ...
I/B/E/S History is the only statistically significant historical estimate database in the business [citation needed].Starting in 1976 for US forecasts and 1987 for International forecasts, I/B/E/S History contains records on over 45,000 companies across 70 markets and presents a unique opportunity for back testing investment theories in a variety of global market conditions.
An economic calendar not only lists daily events, but the volatility levels attached to them. A volatility level refers to the likelihood that a specific event will impact the markets. Economic calendars usually have a three-scale volatility gauge. If an event has a level one volatility, it is not expected to significantly affect the markets.