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  2. One chart shows why an official recession call isn't coming ...

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-one-chart-shows...

    The NBER officially calls U.S. recessions, and data from Bank of America shows why this group won't be in a rush to declare the U.S. economy in recession.

  3. Jobs report could trigger closely watched recession indicator

    www.aol.com/finance/jobs-report-could-trigger...

    The Sahm Rule, developed by economist Claudia Sahm, says that the US economy has entered a recession if the three-month average of the national unemployment rate has risen 0.5% or more from the ...

  4. Top economist explains why she’s sticking with her recession ...

    www.aol.com/finance/top-economist-explains-why...

    To avoid a recession, the U.S. economy will need to hope two bills currently being debated in Congress—a proposed tax cut and military aid for Ukraine and Israel—get passed, says Piper Sandler ...

  5. Why the economy might be in a 'rolling recession'

    www.aol.com/finance/why-economy-might-rolling...

    The much-anticipated recession of 2023 has yet to materialize. Some of the latest economic data point to more signs of strength than weakness. One strategist has a term for what that says about ...

  6. Why a recession is 'not the situation we have today ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/why-recession-not-situation...

    “We don’t really see [a recession] happening until next year, and that means the markets aren’t going to be pricing in that potential outcome for a while yet,” Morris said. Yaseen Shah is ...

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  8. Recession forecasts have been wrong for years. Here's why a ...

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-forecasts-wrong...

    That may be why there's a rabid interest in projecting when the next recession will come. The benefits of such a call vary. It can help, or hurt, political parties amid an election year.

  9. 3 reasons why recession alarms are flashing a false positive ...

    www.aol.com/3-reasons-why-recession-alarms...

    Credit conditions are still too strong for the key conditions of a recession to be met, says Ed Yardeni. 3 reasons why recession alarms are flashing a false positive, market vet says Skip to main ...