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Any definition of expected value may be extended to define an expected value of a multidimensional random variable, i.e. a random vector X. It is defined component by component, as E[X] i = E[X i]. Similarly, one may define the expected value of a random matrix X with components X ij by E[X] ij = E[X ij].
If a vector of predictions is generated from a sample of data points on all variables, and is the vector of observed values of the variable being predicted, with ^ being the predicted values (e.g. as from a least-squares fit), then the within-sample MSE of the predictor is computed as
The expected value or mean of a random vector is a fixed vector [] whose elements are the expected values of the respective random variables. [ 3 ] : p.333 E [ X ] = ( E [ X 1 ] , . . .
In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...
When the model has been estimated over all available data with none held back, the MSPE of the model over the entire population of mostly unobserved data can be estimated as follows.
The mean of a set of observations is the arithmetic average of the values; however, for skewed distributions, the mean is not necessarily the same as the middle value (median), or the most likely value (mode). For example, mean income is typically skewed upwards by a small number of people with very large incomes, so that the majority have an ...
The mean absolute difference is defined as the "average" or "mean", formally the expected value, of the absolute difference of two random variables X and Y independently and identically distributed with the same (unknown) distribution henceforth called Q.
The arithmetic mean of a population, or population mean, is often denoted μ. [2] The sample mean ¯ (the arithmetic mean of a sample of values drawn from the population) makes a good estimator of the population mean, as its expected value is equal to the population mean (that is, it is an unbiased estimator).