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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
The probability that Trump will win the Nov. 8 election was 40 percent, up from 34 percent. ... Hillary Clinton's celebrity endorsements. ... Books authored by past & present 2016 candidates. Show ...
As the results came in on election night, November 8, 2016, Clinton lost in multiple states that she had been predicted to win, including the blue wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In the early morning hours of November 9, media sources declared Trump the winner of the presidency. [ 286 ]
[1] [2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the ...
Predictions coming from Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight show Clinton’s chances of winning the presidency at 64.8 percent, as opposed to Trump’s 35.2 percent Hillary Clinton's chances of being ...
Updated July 14, 2016 at 10:56 PM. ... and he's placing Hillary Clinton at a near 80% favorite to win in the fall. Silver, who runs the data-journalism website FiveThirtyEight, ...
November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton: 47%: Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 3: 1,150 ± 2.89% Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [136] November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton: Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein 887 ± 3.29% Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [137] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton: 50%: Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 1% 7: 737 ...
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. This map, which squared with an earlier map from UVA that showed a similar result, put Clinton way ahead of that total. See Hillary ...