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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
Donald Trump has hit his highest chance of winning the 2016 election, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver.
The probability that Trump will win the Nov. 8 election was 40 percent, up from 34 percent. ... Delegates Allocated to Presidential Candidates Over Time InsideGov ... Books authored by past ...
"A win in either state sometimes gives a candidate an air of inevitability, as was the case with Barack Obama, who won Iowa in 2008, overtaking Hillary Clinton," the Economist explains.
This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election.The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Predictions coming from Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight show Clinton’s chances of winning the presidency at 64.8 percent, as opposed to Trump’s 35.2 percent