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  2. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    Interpreting negative log-probability as information content or surprisal, the support (log-likelihood) of a model, given an event, is the negative of the surprisal of the event, given the model: a model is supported by an event to the extent that the event is unsurprising, given the model.

  3. Log probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Log_probability

    Similarly, likelihoods are often transformed to the log scale, and the corresponding log-likelihood can be interpreted as the degree to which an event supports a statistical model. The log probability is widely used in implementations of computations with probability, and is studied as a concept in its own right in some applications of ...

  4. Observed information - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observed_information

    In statistics, the observed information, or observed Fisher information, is the negative of the second derivative (the Hessian matrix) of the "log-likelihood" (the logarithm of the likelihood function). It is a sample-based version of the Fisher information.

  5. Likelihood-ratio test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood-ratio_test

    In statistics, the likelihood-ratio test is a hypothesis test that involves comparing the goodness of fit of two competing statistical models, typically one found by maximization over the entire parameter space and another found after imposing some constraint, based on the ratio of their likelihoods.

  6. Evidence lower bound - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evidence_lower_bound

    In variational Bayesian methods, the evidence lower bound (often abbreviated ELBO, also sometimes called the variational lower bound [1] or negative variational free energy) is a useful lower bound on the log-likelihood of some observed data.

  7. Poisson regression - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_regression

    Ver Hoef and Boveng described the difference between quasi-Poisson (also called overdispersion with quasi-likelihood) and negative binomial (equivalent to gamma-Poisson) as follows: If E(Y) = μ, the quasi-Poisson model assumes var(Y) = θμ while the gamma-Poisson assumes var(Y) = μ(1 + κμ), where θ is the quasi-Poisson overdispersion ...

  8. Logistic regression - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_regression

    The sum of these, the total loss, is the overall negative log-likelihood ⁠ ⁠, and the best fit is obtained for those choices of ⁠ ⁠ and ⁠ ⁠ for which ⁠ ⁠ is minimized. Alternatively, instead of minimizing the loss, one can maximize its inverse, the (positive) log-likelihood:

  9. Cross-entropy - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross-entropy

    This is also known as the log loss (or logarithmic loss [4] or logistic loss); [5] the terms "log loss" and "cross-entropy loss" are used interchangeably. [ 6 ] More specifically, consider a binary regression model which can be used to classify observations into two possible classes (often simply labelled 0 {\displaystyle 0} and 1 ...