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It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.
This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Toss-up (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map. This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue.
2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (75%+), Dark (95%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. 2020 Electoral Votes. Change From 2020 to 2024.
The final electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
An interactive electoral map based on The JHK Forecasts statistical model for projecting the 2024 presidential election.
The final 2024 Presidential Power Rankings from Fox News. The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. Note that as a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024.
The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times.