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Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer ...
The national polling average released by Silver on Sunday morning showed Harris over Trump 48.5% to 47.6%. But he cautioned his model doesn’t care about the national polls as much at this stage.
Silver’s model predicts that Harris has a 58.9% chance at winning the national popular vote – which has no bearing on the winner of the race – but that Trump will rack up 274 Electoral ...
Silver’s election forecast and model showed Vice President Harris beating Trump for the first time since Aug. 28. ... Pollster Nate Silver said that a 50/50 forecast for the presidential ...
Pollster Nate Silver’s election forecast now has former President Trump slightly ahead of Vice President Harris heading into Labor Day weekend. While Harris is beating the former president by 3. ...
Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball and elections.He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News until May 2023. [2]
Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [3] [4] [5] 538's new owner Disney hired G. Elliott Morris to develop a new model. [3] [4] On September 18, 2023, the original website domain at fivethirtyeight.com was closed, and web traffic became redirected to ABC News pages ...
Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer ...