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  2. List of marginal seats before the 2024 United Kingdom general ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_marginal_seats...

    Seats needing smallest swing to be won by Conservatives [6] Rank Constituency Winning party 2019 Swing required Winning party 2024 1 Warrington South [note 1] Labour Party: 0.06% Labour Party: 2 Coventry North West: Labour Party: 0.22% Labour Party: 3 Kensington and Bayswater [note 2] Labour Party: 0.36% Labour Party: 4 Alyn and Deeside: Labour ...

  3. Why Scotland is so important for Labour to avoid a hung ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/labour-course-dominant-force...

    Labour had been hoping to win 15 to 20 seats in Scotland in a bid to boost its chances of avoiding a hung parliament and winning an outright majority. Prof Curtice said a 10-point swing would have ...

  4. Reform UK to take more seats from Labour than Tories ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/reform-uk-more-seats-labour...

    As our polling graphically shows, the vast majority of seats Reform would win if there was an election today are from Labour, as are most of the seats they would take on a swing of 3% or less.

  5. Starmer needs to outdo Blair to win majority as new ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/starmer-needs-outdo-blair-win...

    For an overall majority, Sir Keir’s 12.7 point requirement is up from 12 on the old boundaries, and any uniform swing from the Tories to Labour greater than 4.2 and less than 12.7 is likely to ...

  6. List of marginal seats before the 2019 United Kingdom general ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_marginal_seats...

    Labour target seats [4]; Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing required Winning party 2019 1 Southampton Itchen: Conservative: 0.03% Conservative: 2 Glasgow South West

  7. 2024 United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_Kingdom...

    A potentially large Labour majority was also acknowledged by Jeremy Hunt, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, and Mel Stride, the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions. [242] Alison McGarry, the Labour chair of Islington North, resigned from the Labour Party after being spotted campaigning for Corbyn; she resigned rather than face expulsion for ...

  8. Swing (United Kingdom) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_(United_Kingdom)

    Swing was originated by David Butler, a political science academic at Nuffield College, Oxford.In a contribution to The British General Election of 1945 he wrote "this measurement of 'swing', admittedly imperfect, does give us a broad idea of the movement of opinion from Conservative to Labour" and went on to compare the swings in each area of the country.

  9. Swing from Tories to Labour was because Conservative voters ...

    www.aol.com/swing-tories-labour-because...

    A 24 per cent swing towards Labour was “largely driven by Conservative voters staying at home,” Mr Hands said. Conservative losses in Thursday's (20 July) by elections were because Tory voters ...