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Seats needing smallest swing to be won by Conservatives [6] Rank Constituency Winning party 2019 Swing required Winning party 2024 1 Warrington South [note 1] Labour Party: 0.06% Labour Party: 2 Coventry North West: Labour Party: 0.22% Labour Party: 3 Kensington and Bayswater [note 2] Labour Party: 0.36% Labour Party: 4 Alyn and Deeside: Labour ...
Labour had been hoping to win 15 to 20 seats in Scotland in a bid to boost its chances of avoiding a hung parliament and winning an outright majority. Prof Curtice said a 10-point swing would have ...
As our polling graphically shows, the vast majority of seats Reform would win if there was an election today are from Labour, as are most of the seats they would take on a swing of 3% or less.
For an overall majority, Sir Keir’s 12.7 point requirement is up from 12 on the old boundaries, and any uniform swing from the Tories to Labour greater than 4.2 and less than 12.7 is likely to ...
Labour target seats [4]; Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing required Winning party 2019 1 Southampton Itchen: Conservative: 0.03% Conservative: 2 Glasgow South West
The largest majority received by an individual is also Sir Cooper Rawson, re-elected with a majority of 62,253 (35.2% of votes) at Brighton in 1931. [ 1 ] : 101 The largest majority received by a woman is 38,823 (71.4% of votes) by the Countess of Iveagh elected MP for Southend in 1931.
Swing was originated by David Butler, a political science academic at Nuffield College, Oxford.In a contribution to The British General Election of 1945 he wrote "this measurement of 'swing', admittedly imperfect, does give us a broad idea of the movement of opinion from Conservative to Labour" and went on to compare the swings in each area of the country.
The centre-left Labour won a massive majority in the 650-seat parliament. ... Sunak stunned Westminster and many in his own party by calling the election earlier than he needed to while trailing ...