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The Lucas islands model is an economic model of the link between money supply and price and output changes in a simplified economy using rational expectations. It delivered a new classical explanation of the Phillips curve relationship between unemployment and inflation. The model was formulated by Robert Lucas, Jr. in a series of papers in the ...
The money supply proved a very poor indicator of inflationary pressures, and the measures taken in the attempt to bring it under control led to a much sharper recession than was needed to bring ...
Monetary inflation is a sustained increase in the money supply of a country (or currency area). Depending on many factors, especially public expectations, the fundamental state and development of the economy, and the transmission mechanism, it is likely to result in price inflation, which is usually just called "inflation", which is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services.
Basic economics also teaches that the money supply shrinks when loans are repaid; [13] [14] however, the money supply will not necessarily decrease depending on the creation of new loans and other effects. Other than loans, investment activities of commercial banks and the Federal Reserve also increase and decrease the money supply. [15]
Getting inflation down to 2% remains the Fed's key objective. But it also seems to be anticipating possible ways the cure might become another poison — and making sure it doesn't happen.
Meanwhile, the energy index decreased by 1.9% in September, after falling 0.8% in August as gas prices declined a sizable 4.1% last month. On a yearly basis, the energy index was down 6.8%.
GBP/USD exchange rate. The 1976 sterling crisis was a currency crisis in the United Kingdom. Inflation (at close to 25% in 1975, causing high bond yields and borrowing costs), a balance-of-payments deficit, a public-spending deficit, and the 1973 oil crisis were contributors.
Friedman's Money Supply Rule vs. Optimal Interest Rate Policy; Model Uncertainty and Delegation: A Case for Friedman's k-percent Money Growth Rule; A K-Percent Rule for Monetary Policy in West Germany; Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy, Robert J. Barro, David B. Gordon; Discretion versus policy rules in practice ...