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  2. Sequential probability ratio test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sequential_probability...

    The sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) is a specific sequential hypothesis test, developed by Abraham Wald [1] and later proven to be optimal by Wald and Jacob Wolfowitz. [2] Neyman and Pearson's 1933 result inspired Wald to reformulate it as a sequential analysis problem. The Neyman-Pearson lemma, by contrast, offers a rule of thumb for ...

  3. Newsvendor model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newsvendor_model

    Newsvendor model. The newsvendor (or newsboy or single-period[1] or salvageable) model is a mathematical model in operations management and applied economics used to determine optimal inventory levels. It is (typically) characterized by fixed prices and uncertain demand for a perishable product. If the inventory level is , each unit of demand ...

  4. Statistical hypothesis test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_hypothesis_test

    The major Neyman–Pearson paper of 1933 [11] also considered composite hypotheses (ones whose distribution includes an unknown parameter). An example proved the optimality of the (Student's) t-test, "there can be no better test for the hypothesis under consideration" (p 321). Neyman–Pearson theory was proving the optimality of Fisherian ...

  5. Bayes factor - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_factor

    The Bayes factor is a ratio of two competing statistical models represented by their evidence, and is used to quantify the support for one model over the other. [1] The models in question can have a common set of parameters, such as a null hypothesis and an alternative, but this is not necessary; for instance, it could also be a non-linear model compared to its linear approximation.

  6. Likelihood-ratio test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood-ratio_test

    Likelihood-ratio test. In statistics, the likelihood-ratio test is a hypothesis test that involves comparing the goodness of fit of two competing statistical models, typically one found by maximization over the entire parameter space and another found after imposing some constraint, based on the ratio of their likelihoods.

  7. Overfitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overfitting

    As shown in Figure 5, the linear line could not represent all the given data points due to the line not resembling the curvature of the points. We would expect to see a parabola-shaped line as shown in Figure 6 and Figure 1. If we were to use Figure 5 for analysis, we would get false predictive results contrary to the results if we analyzed ...

  8. Z-test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Z-test

    The term " Z -test" is often used to refer specifically to the one-sample location test comparing the mean of a set of measurements to a given constant when the sample variance is known. For example, if the observed data X1, ..., Xn are (i) independent, (ii) have a common mean μ, and (iii) have a common variance σ 2, then the sample average X ...

  9. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    Bayes' theorem (alternatively Bayes' law or Bayes' rule, after Thomas Bayes) gives a mathematical rule for inverting conditional probabilities, allowing us to find the probability of a cause given its effect. [1] For example, if the risk of developing health problems is known to increase with age, Bayes' theorem allows the risk to an individual ...