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The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
In that July poll, Trump was ahead of Biden by 2 points, 45% to 43%. The new poll shows the key voting blocs that have moved — and those that haven’t really budged — since Biden’s exit.
The latest national NBC News poll shows Trump winning men by 18 percentage points and Harris carrying women by 16 points — a combined 34-point gender gap, up from 30 points in October’s NBC ...
[1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [3]
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
The latest numbers represent a small swing towards Trump since The Wall Street Journal's last poll in August, which showed a 47%-45% advantage for Harris. Trump 48%, Harris 46% in latest CNBC poll
The table below is a list of United States presidential elections by popular vote margin. It is sorted to display elections by their presidential term/year of election, name, margin by percentage in popular vote, popular vote, margin in popular vote by number, and the runner up in the Electoral College.
An historic switch in the presidential ticket. A polling shift. And a still-undefined nominee. That’s the backdrop to this week’s Democratic convention.