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Probability bounds analysis (PBA) is a collection of methods of uncertainty propagation for making qualitative and quantitative calculations in the face of uncertainties of various kinds. It is used to project partial information about random variables and other quantities through mathematical expressions.
To obtain an upper bound for Pr(X > 0), and thus a lower bound for Pr(X = 0), we first note that since X takes only integer values, Pr(X > 0) = Pr(X ≥ 1). Since X is non-negative we can now apply Markov's inequality to obtain Pr(X ≥ 1) ≤ E[X]. Combining these we have Pr(X > 0) ≤ E[X]; the first moment method is simply the use of this ...
when the two marginal functions and the copula density function are known, then the joint probability density function between the two random variables can be calculated, or; when the two marginal functions and the joint probability density function between the two random variables are known, then the copula density function can be calculated.
In probability theory, Popoviciu's inequality, named after Tiberiu Popoviciu, is an upper bound on the variance σ 2 of any bounded probability distribution. Let M and m be upper and lower bounds on the values of any random variable with a particular probability distribution.
In probability theory, a Chernoff bound is an exponentially decreasing upper bound on the tail of a random variable based on its moment generating function. The minimum of all such exponential bounds forms the Chernoff or Chernoff-Cramér bound , which may decay faster than exponential (e.g. sub-Gaussian ).
Let be the product of two independent variables = each uniformly distributed on the interval [0,1], possibly the outcome of a copula transformation. As noted in "Lognormal Distributions" above, PDF convolution operations in the Log domain correspond to the product of sample values in the original domain.
This upper bound is the best for the value of s minimizing the value inside the exponential. This can be done easily by optimizing a quadratic, giving = = (). Writing the above bound for this value of s, we get the desired bound:
Anti-concentration inequalities, on the other hand, provide an upper bound on how much a random variable can concentrate, either on a specific value or range of values. A concrete example is that if you flip a fair coin n {\displaystyle n} times, the probability that any given number of heads appears will be less than 1 n {\displaystyle {\frac ...