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Polymarket is an American cryptocurrency-based prediction market, headquartered in Manhattan, New York City. Launched in 2020, it offers a platform where investors can place bets on various future events, including economic indicators , weather patterns, awards, as well as political and legislative outcomes.
Four Polymarket accounts that appear to be connected have bet $30 million that Trump will win the election, according to Arkham Intelligence. ... not by a national poll conducted by the site.
Polymarket declined to comment for this story, but a person familiar with the company said it was unlikely the court ruling would result in any sites offering bets in the U.S. on the presidential ...
“Unlike polls, prediction markets can be influenced by the interests of a small number of large players, as appears to be happening [on Polymarket],” Ryan Waite, vice president of public ...
In another post, Musk said that Polymarket odds were “more accurate than polls.” A Nov. 3 NBC News poll found Harris and Trump were deadlocked among respondents, each with 49% support from ...
Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election—and the majority of bets are on Trump winning ... the ups and downs of each candidate were tracked not only in the polls ...
The success Polymarket has had predicting political outcomes is somewhat surprising considering that betting on elections is illegal in the U.S., and bettors in the U.S. are technically barred ...
Polymarket, by contrast, has become a fixture of political Twitter and, according to Nick Tomaino—whose venture fund 1confirmation has invested in all of these projects—is the go-to site for ...