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The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations [2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then
This is not a constructive definition; we are merely given the required property that a conditional expectation must satisfy. The definition of E ( X ∣ H ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} (X\mid {\mathcal {H}})} may resemble that of E ( X ∣ H ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} (X\mid H)} for an event H {\displaystyle H} but these ...
The tower rule may refer to one of two rules in mathematics: Law of total expectation , in probability and stochastic theory a rule governing the degree of a field extension of a field extension in field theory
Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations , probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms .
The term law of total probability is sometimes taken to mean the law of alternatives, which is a special case of the law of total probability applying to discrete random variables. [ citation needed ] One author uses the terminology of the "Rule of Average Conditional Probabilities", [ 4 ] while another refers to it as the "continuous law of ...
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In probability theory, a martingale is a sequence of random variables (i.e., a stochastic process) for which, at a particular time, the conditional expectation of the next value in the sequence is equal to the present value, regardless of all prior values.
The word probability has been used in a variety of ways since it was first applied to the mathematical study of games of chance.Does probability measure the real, physical, tendency of something to occur, or is it a measure of how strongly one believes it will occur, or does it draw on both these elements?