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While politics and elections remained the main focus of FiveThirtyEight, the blog also sometimes addressed sports, including the March Madness [538 50] [538 51] [42] and the 2012 NCAA Men's Basketball tournament selection process, [538 52] the B.C.S. rankings in NCAA college football, [43] the NBA, [538 53] [538 54] [538 55] and Major League ...
On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...
The GOP's House control in 2024 could depend on a few crucial races and ongoing redistricting cases.
The 2020 United States redistricting cycle is in progress following the completion of the 2020 United States census. In all fifty states, various bodies are re-drawing state legislative districts. States that are apportioned more than one seat in the United States House of Representatives are also drawing new districts for that legislative body.
All redistricting events that took place in Missouri between 1973 and 2013 are shown. Year Statewide map St. Louis highlight 1973–1982 1983–1992 1993–2002
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
After a lower state court struck down the state legislature's proposed map in 2022 and enacted a map drawn by a special master, the New York Court of Appeals (the court of last resort) ruled on December 12, 2023, that those court-drawn districts were only meant to be temporary and that the Independent Redistricting Commission must draw new ...