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Natural gas derived from fossil fuels is a non-renewable energy source; however, methane can be renewable in other forms such as biogas. Peak coal was in 2013, and peak oil is forecast to occur before peak gas. [7] One forecast is for natural gas demand to peak in 2035. [8]
Hubbert's 1962 prediction of US lower 48-state gas production, versus actual production through 2012. Hubbert also predicted that natural gas production would follow a logistic curve similar to that of oil. The graph shows actual gas production in blue compared to his predicted gas production for the United States in red, published in 1962. [16]
Natural gas prices 2000 - May 23, 2022 Comparison of natural gas prices in Japan, United Kingdom, and United States, 2007-2011 Natural gas prices at the Henry Hub in US Dollars per million Btu for the 2000-2010 decade. Price per million BTU of oil and natural gas in the US, 1998-2015
Hubbert's original predictions for world peak oil production proved premature. [11] As of 2024, forecasts of the year of peak oil range from 2028 to 2050. [12] These predictions are dependent on future economic trends, technological developments, and efforts by societies and governments to mitigate climate change. [8] [13] [14]
Marion King Hubbert (October 5, 1903 – October 11, 1989) was an American geologist and geophysicist. He worked at the Shell research lab in Houston, Texas.He made several important contributions to geology, geophysics, and petroleum geology, most notably the Hubbert curve and Hubbert peak theory (a basic component of peak oil), with important political ramifications.
A logistic distribution shaped world oil production curve, peaking at 12.5 billion barrels per year about the year 2000, as originally proposed by M. King Hubbert in 1956. In 1956, M. King Hubbert created and first used the models behind peak oil to predict that United States oil production would peak between 1965 and 1971.
Gas depletion. Proven global natural gas reserves between 1960 and 2012 (OPEC) Ratio of world proved gas reserves to production, 1980-2011. Gas depletion is the decline in natural gas production of a well, gas field, or geographic area. [1]
Oil depletion. Oil depletion is the decline in oil production of a well, oil field, or geographic area. [1] The Hubbert peak theory makes predictions of production rates based on prior discovery rates and anticipated production rates. Hubbert curves predict that the production curves of non-renewing resources approximate a bell curve.