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Polls today consistently show a tight race, and those in the polling profession say now they’ll be under the microscope. “We’re understandably requiring more precision because the stakes ...
Polls almost always undercount Trump’s support, leading him to drastically overperform pre-election assumptions. At this point in 2020, Trump trailed then-candidate Joe Biden by 7 points per the ...
The American Association for Public Opinion Research postmortem following the 2020 election considered the possibility that polls underestimated Trump because his supporters responded less to ...
The following nationwide polls feature Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is an independent candidate who suspended his campaign and endorsed Donald Trump. Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
"With one day left in the 2024 campaign, the polls show one of the closest presidential elections in the history of American politics," Nate Cohn, the Times chief pollster, wrote Monday.
After the conventions, Obama had a clear lead until he did poorly in the first debate. Romney took the lead, and the polls were tied in early and mid-October. The Democrats then regained their momentum but Obama became the first President to win re-election by a narrower margin in both the popular vote and in the Electoral College.
Former first lady Michelle Obama is the only Democrat to beat former President Trump in a new poll Tuesday. The survey, conducted by Reuters/Ipsos, found Obama was the only Democrat with a lead on ...
Donald Trump (left) and Barack Obama (right) together on Trump's first inauguration day, January 20, 2017. In the United States, Obama–Trump voters, sometimes referred to as Trump Democrats or Obama Republicans, are people who voted for Democratic Party nominee Barack Obama in the 2008 and/or 2012 presidential elections, but later voted for Republican Party nominee Donald Trump in 2016, 2020 ...