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YouGov produced a poll of seats in South West England that had elected a Conservative MP in every election since the 2015 general election and where a majority of voters were estimated to have voted to leave the European Union in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. They branded these seats the "Conservative Celtic Fringe".
Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom.
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
YouGov has been releasing two different types of polls in recent weeks. One is an MRP poll which gets more than 60,000 respondents and includes more granular data. The other is a more regular poll ...
The poll by YouGov for the Times newspaper put Reform UK on 19%, up from 17% previously, and the Conservative Party unchanged on 18%. The opposition Labour Party topped the poll with 37%.
The MRP poll of 47,751 adults between June 19 and July 2 suggests the Conservatives could win just 102 seats. YouGov poll forecasts no Tory seats in Wales and swathes of northern England Skip to ...
The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 general election, held on 12 December, to the eve of the 2024 election.
Britain's opposition Labour Party is on track to win the most seats in the party's history at a July 4 election, according to a YouGov poll published on Wednesday. The multilevel regression and ...