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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.Under the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, the election would be held on October 20, 2025, but it may be called earlier if the governor general dissolves Parliament on the recommendation of the prime minister, either for a ...
(Reuters) -Outgoing Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party said late on Thursday it will choose a new leader on March 9 ahead of the 2025 elections for which polls show the party ...
338Canada was founded by Philippe J. Fournier in 2017 as an electoral statistics and projections website. [1] In 2020 and 2024, the site produced projections for the 2020 United States presidential election and the 2024 United States presidential election.
May 12: 2025 New Brunswick municipal elections; Jun 14: 2025 Quebec Liberal Party leadership election [10] [11] Aug 16: Municipal election in Sandy Beach, Alberta [12] Sept: 2025 Green Party of British Columbia leadership election [13] Oct 2: 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador municipal elections; Oct 14: 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general ...
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's ruling Liberals, trailing badly in the polls, face a struggle on Monday to retain a once-safe seat in a special election where failure to win could boost ...
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is expected to announce as early as Monday that he will step down as leader of the ruling Liberal Party, Canadian media reports, ahead of a general election ...