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It was first released in Japanese on September 5, 2012 in four different editions: two CD+DVD, a Regular edition [1] and a digital Deluxe edition. [2] A Korean edition, titled as KARA Solo Collection, was released on November 30, 2012 digitally [3] and December 4, 2012 physically. The songs were performed in Korean language.
The prediction interval is conventionally written as: [, +]. For example, to calculate the 95% prediction interval for a normal distribution with a mean (μ) of 5 and a standard deviation (σ) of 1, then z is approximately 2. Therefore, the lower limit of the prediction interval is approximately 5 ‒ (2⋅1) = 3, and the upper limit is ...
where is the actual value of the quantity being forecast, is the forecast, and is the number of different times for which the variable is forecast. Because actual rather than absolute values of the forecast errors are used in the formula, positive and negative forecast errors can offset each other; as a result, the formula can be used as a ...
The explained sum of squares (ESS) is the sum of the squares of the deviations of the predicted values from the mean value of a response variable, in a standard regression model — for example, y i = a + b 1 x 1i + b 2 x 2i + ... + ε i, where y i is the i th observation of the response variable, x ji is the i th observation of the j th ...
The general regression model with n observations and k explanators, the first of which is a constant unit vector whose coefficient is the regression intercept, is = + where y is an n × 1 vector of dependent variable observations, each column of the n × k matrix X is a vector of observations on one of the k explanators, is a k × 1 vector of true coefficients, and e is an n× 1 vector of the ...
When the model has been estimated over all available data with none held back, the MSPE of the model over the entire population of mostly unobserved data can be estimated as follows.
If the sum of squares were not normalized, its value would always be larger for the sample of 100 people than for the sample of 20 people. To scale the sum of squares, we divide it by the degrees of freedom, i.e., calculate the sum of squares per degree of freedom, or variance. Standard deviation, in turn, is the square root of the variance.
It is calculated as the sum of squares of the prediction residuals for those observations. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] Specifically, the PRESS statistic is an exhaustive form of cross-validation , as it tests all the possible ways that the original data can be divided into a training and a validation set.