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To that point, the most critical swing states are all on a knife’s edge in the polls: Based on our latest state polling averages, Harris leads by around 1 to 2 points in Michigan, Nevada ...
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
Here are the latest poll results for Pennsylvania and swing states on election Day 2024 ... Who is leading in the swing states' polls and favored by the odds? ABC News project 538 shows Harris ...
As of Nov. 1, Harris and Trump were separated by just 1.2% in nationwide polling averages compiled by 538. At the state level, neither candidate has a lead greater than 2 percentage points any of ...
Many presidential elections have seen most states swing in the same direction. ... According to 538's forecast, ... As election results are tabulated, the results we have so far for Texas's 28th ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
The U.S. states considered as such change over time. The seven swing states in the 2024 election were the Rust Belt states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, as well as the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. [236] Trump secured victory in all seven states.
Seven states could flip the results of the 2024 presidential election. See the latest polling as voters head to the polls on Tuesday and the race comes to an end.