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March 7, 2008; 16 years ago (2008-03-07) [1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
The Keys to the White House. The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
PHOTO: 538's national polling average of the presidential election as of Sept. 17, 2024 at 9 a.m. Eastern. (538 photo illustration)
If the current polls prove accurate, that would also mark a significant shift leftward for the Tar Heel State. Harris currently leads Trump by 2.8 points in 538's national polling average, so ...
Nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The election was between Democratic Incumbent President Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, as well as other third-party and independent challengers.
Barack Obama: 45%: John McCain 44% Newsweek/Princeton Survey Research Associates International [358] April 16–17, 2008 Hillary Clinton: 47%: John McCain 43% 1,209 RV ±3% Barack Obama: 48%: John McCain 44% Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [359] April 15–17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain: 49%: 1,000 LV Not reported Barack ...
D. x Wyoming. 3. R. R. R. Maps and electoral vote counts for the 2012 presidential election. Our latest estimate has Obama at 281 electoral votes and Romney at 191.