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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
At the same time, FiveThirtyEight ' s daily "Today's Polls" column began to be mirrored on "The Plank", a blog published by The New Republic. [24] In July 2008, the site began to report regular updates of projections of 2008 U.S. Senate races. Special procedures were developed relying on both polls and demographic analysis. The projections were ...
Nov 3, 2020 [15] Five Thirty Eight [a] Nov 2, 2020 [16] Alabama 9 R+14 +27.73% R +25.46% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Likely R Safe R Solid R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Alaska 3 R+9 +14.73% R +10.06% R Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R Tossup Solid R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R ...
The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump. On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls for ...
The pollster Hodas & Associates Strategic Communications had similarly bleak news for the president in polls released the same day. In Michigan , the pollster found, Trump trails Biden by 18 points.
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 4 percentage points, according to the final PBS News/NPR/Marist poll before the election. In their national survey of likely voters, Harris ...
The Republicans attacked him for being inexperienced, [23] and McCain got a temporary bump in the polls after choosing Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential nominee. The financial crisis allowed Obama to open a consistent, comfortable lead in the polls at the beginning of October, however, and he won the election by a comfortable margin. [4]