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The theorem was named after Carl Friedrich Gauss and Andrey Markov, although Gauss' work significantly predates Markov's. [3] But while Gauss derived the result under the assumption of independence and normality, Markov reduced the assumptions to the form stated above. [4] A further generalization to non-spherical errors was given by Alexander ...
This transformation effectively standardizes the scale of and de-correlates the errors. When OLS is used on data with homoscedastic errors, the Gauss–Markov theorem applies, so the GLS estimate is the best linear unbiased estimator for .
Gauss–Markov stochastic processes (named after Carl Friedrich Gauss and Andrey Markov) are stochastic processes that satisfy the requirements for both Gaussian processes and Markov processes. [1] [2] A stationary Gauss–Markov process is unique [citation needed] up to rescaling; such a process is also known as an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.
If the experimental errors, , are uncorrelated, have a mean of zero and a constant variance, , the Gauss–Markov theorem states that the least-squares estimator, ^, has the minimum variance of all estimators that are linear combinations of the observations. In this sense it is the best, or optimal, estimator of the parameters.
The Gauss–Markov theorem shows that, when this is so, ^ is a best linear unbiased estimator . If, however, the measurements are uncorrelated but have different uncertainties, a modified approach might be adopted.
The least-squares method minimizes the variance of the unbiased estimators of the coefficients, under the conditions of the Gauss–Markov theorem. The least-squares method was published in 1805 by Legendre and in 1809 by Gauss. The first design of an experiment for polynomial regression appeared in an 1815 paper of Gergonne.
In linear regression, the use of the least-squares estimator is justified by the Gauss–Markov theorem, which does not assume that the distribution is normal. From the perspective of generalized linear models, however, it is useful to suppose that the distribution function is the normal distribution with constant variance and the link function ...
If the assumptions of OLS regression hold, the solution = (), with =, is an unbiased estimator, and is the minimum-variance linear unbiased estimator, according to the Gauss–Markov theorem. The term λ n I {\displaystyle \lambda nI} therefore leads to a biased solution; however, it also tends to reduce variance.