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Diagram relating pre- and post-test probabilities, with the green curve (upper left half) representing a positive test, and the red curve (lower right half) representing a negative test, for the case of 90% sensitivity and 90% specificity, corresponding to a likelihood ratio positive of 9, and a likelihood ratio negative of 0.111.
Likelihood Ratio: An example "test" is that the physical exam finding of bulging flanks has a positive likelihood ratio of 2.0 for ascites. Estimated change in probability: Based on table above, a likelihood ratio of 2.0 corresponds to an approximately +15% increase in probability.
The likelihood ratio is central to likelihoodist statistics: the law of likelihood states that the degree to which data (considered as evidence) supports one parameter value versus another is measured by the likelihood ratio. In frequentist inference, the likelihood ratio is the basis for a test statistic, the so-called likelihood-ratio test.
Thus the likelihood-ratio test tests whether this ratio is significantly different from one, or equivalently whether its natural logarithm is significantly different from zero. The likelihood-ratio test, also known as Wilks test , [ 2 ] is the oldest of the three classical approaches to hypothesis testing, together with the Lagrange multiplier ...
The commonly used chi-squared tests for goodness of fit to a distribution and for independence in contingency tables are in fact approximations of the log-likelihood ratio on which the G-tests are based. [4] The general formula for Pearson's chi-squared test statistic is
^ = the maximized value of the likelihood function of the model , i.e. ^ = (^,), where {^} are the parameter values that maximize the likelihood function and is the observed data; n {\displaystyle n} = the number of data points in x {\displaystyle x} , the number of observations , or equivalently, the sample size;
To compare effect sizes of the interactions between the variables, odds ratios are used. Odds ratios are preferred over chi-square statistics for two main reasons: [1] 1. Odds ratios are independent of the sample size; 2. Odds ratios are not affected by unequal marginal distributions.
For example, if each stratum contains two datapoints, then the number of parameters in a model with datapoints is / +, so the number of parameters is of the same order as the number of datapoints. In these settings, as we increase the amount of data, the asymptotic results on which maximum likelihood estimation is based on are not valid and the ...