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In an August 2024 report, J.P. Morgan analysts revealed that there's a 35% chance the U.S. will fall into a recession by the end of this year. The probability of a recession by the end of 2025 ...
In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...
Patient investors can (and I'd argue should) buy stocks in 2025, regardless of whether or not a recession is coming. The most important lesson history teaches is that the S&P 500 rises over the ...
The 1948 recession was a brief economic downturn; forecasters of the time expected much worse, perhaps influenced by the poor economy in their recent lifetimes. [62] The recession also followed a period of monetary tightening. [40] Recession of 1953: July 1953 – May 1954 10 months 3 years 9 months 6.1% (September 1954) −2.6%
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York also estimates that there's around a 29% probability of a recession occurring by December 2025. The stock market continues to reach new heights, with the S&P ...
June 15–July 13 – The 2025 FIFA Club World Cup will take place in 11 cities across the United States. September 9 – The 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly will open in New York City. [285] October 14 – Microsoft has set the retirement (end-of-life) date for its Windows 10 operating system on this date.
The Handelsblatt Research Institute reports that the German economy is in its "greatest crisis in post-war history" after projecting that the economy will enter its third year of recession in 2025 with a 0.1% contraction, following a 0.3% contraction in both 2023 and 2024. Disasters and accidents
Jim Paulsen says he expects a 10%-15% stock market correction next year. The market veteran thinks investors are overlooking the risk of an economic slowdown.